A Tipping Point

Published on Oct 4, 2020

Only two weeks to go before our Premier outlines the next steps in the easing of the current COVID-19 restrictions, that have been in place since early August. There is a sense of anticipation, as well as trepidation, as the 18th of October approaches.

For us to move to Step 3 of the roadmap to a COVID-normal, the daily average number of cases in the last 14 days has to be less than 5, and the number of cases with an unknown source in the last 14 days also has to be less than 5. So how are we tracking? As of today, the average number of daily cases in the last 14 days is on the decline and sits at 11.9, and the number of cases with an unknown source in the last 14 days is also on the decline at 13. 

Though we are trending in the right direction, it will be a close call and one that has many on edge. The Premier has said that nothing is certain on the 18th of October, and if we don't get these numbers down, then the restrictions could stay longer.

The people are getting a little restless. Scenes of people gathering in large numbers at the beach on Friday without masks is a sign that people are getting weary of the restrictions and taking measures into their own hands. It doesn't look good or bode well when we are so close to achieving the next step.

The Government are being very stern in their message about the removal of restrictions. They are saying that there is no certainty that things will change as planned in two weeks. I suspect they need to maintain this line to keep the community focused on the end game, and giving in them no certainty is part of that message. 

We are at a delicate tipping point, where the support from the people towards the roadmap to COVID-normal may diminish. We are in this situation because of a stuff-up by Government on hotel quarantine, early in the COVID crisis. We have partially forgiven them for that, but any more stuff-ups and the trust of the people will vanish. Let's hope it doesn't come to that.